Tag Archives: Harry’s Law

Bubble Watch – Bubble doesn’t mean cancelled – Maybe?

13 Nov

TV by the Numbers has updated it’s Bubble list, they have added Bones, Ringer, and Rules of Engagement.

Keep in mind Bubble watch seeks to predict what will happen to a show by season’s end, based on its ongoing performance.  Last year they predicted Fringe would be cancelled and it wasn’t, there is always hope.

Bones is on the bubble because, “it is an older show with ok ratings”. It is also airing a shorter season due to Emily’s pregnancy, to make up for it they are airing the Bones spin off  The Finder.  I remember the episode last season when they introduced the characters and the concept for the finder and I was not impressed. 

Ringer, “it might be easier to just put all the CW shows other than the Vampire diaries on the bubble”, an excellent suggestion, but as the article points out not very practical. I suppose the CW could cancel everything but TVD and start over.  I would get rid of 90210 and Gossip Girl, before Ringer. 

Here is a snapshot of each category, a link to the full article can be found below. 

Certain Cancellation

A Gifted Man

Harry’s Law

Likely Cancellation

Pan Am

Body of Proof

Fringe

On the Bubble

House

Nikita

Ringer

Hart of Dixie

Likely renewal

Once Upon A Time

Happy Endings

Revenge

Blue Bloods

Certain Renewal

Castle

2 Broke Girls

Glee

Bubble Watch

Renew or Cancel Where is your show on the list

30 Oct

We are almost two months into the new TV season, and beginning November sweeps, so lets discuss what shows are “on the bubble”

Fun fact, “on the bubble” is actually a carpenter’s term, it means it “could go either way”, cancel or renew. 

Tv By The Numbers has two columns they run all season, one is the Renew/Cancel Index the other is Bubble Watch. While they are similar, Renew/Cancel is what would happen to a show if the season ended now.  Buh-Bye.  The bubble takes a guess at what will happen in May.

To determine if a show is “on the bubble” Tv By the Numbers uses the following when evaluating a shows status

  • ratings, not overall viewers, but the share of adults 18-49 (the only demo advertisers care about)
  • syndication money, it used to be a show didn’t go into re-runs or syndication until it went off the air, then it changed to 100 episodes, now the number has dropped to 88
  • who owns the show, this gets back to syndication money, a network will care more about renewing a show they own than one it doesn’t

For example Harry’s Law vs. Community, Harry’s Law has more total viewers then Community,  but they aren’t in the coveted 18-49 demo, and after this season Community will have enough episodes for syndication. It is easier to syndicate a 30 minute comedy then a one hour drama. 

This year The Big Bang Theory set a syndication deal record earning Warner Bros. 2million an episode. 

Shows likely to be cancelled

PanAm

Fringe (wahhhhhhh)

Body of Proof

On the Bubble

Once Upon A Time

Hart of Dixie

Nikita

Likely Renewal

Revenge

Happy Endings

The Good Wife

Certain Renewal

Castle

Mike and Molly

Vampire Diaries

To see where your favorite show is on the list click here.

Then come back to discuss in the comments.

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